Virginia (21-5, 12-12 ATS) at Miami (21-5, 15-9 ATS)

7 p.m. ET, ESPN

Line: Miami -1 Total: 128

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Last 10: Virginia 8-2 (5-5 ATS) Miami 8-2 (5-5 ATS)

Effective FG percentage: Virginia 55.2 (17th), Miami 53.5 (38th) EFG% against: Virginia 48.2 (102nd), Miami 47.3 (68th)

Analysis: Virginia is 4-0 ATS in its last four games overall. The Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings vs. the Hurricanes and 4-1 ATS the last five games in Miami. Miami is 19-9-1 ATS in its last 29 games overall and 12-3-1 ATS in its last 16 home games.

The UNDER is 6-0 in Virginia’s last six games overall and 5-1 in its last six road games. The UNDER is 4-1 in Miami’s last five games overall. The UNDER is 7-1 in Miami’s last eight home games. The UNDER is 4-1 in the last five meetings between the two teams.

The favorite is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. The bets slightly favorite Virginia in this one but the money is coming in pretty evenly on both sides. Miami is coming off a blowout loss to North Carolina. Expect a much better effort from the Hurricanes tonight but Virginia has dominated this series of late. We’ll take the Cavaliers +1 on the road and the UNDER 128.

MORE: College hoops live scoreboard | UVA-Miami stats and trends